Chao, Liang-Fang 3-12 1-35pm_UnredactedLiang-Fang Chao Sent via email — 3/12/20181:37 p.m.
RE: Vallco Shopping District Specific Plan (NOT Vallco Special Area, which doesn't
exist in the General Plan)
Dear Vallco Planners and City Council members,
Please consider these facts as you evaluate the land use decisions at Vallco Shopping
District.
FACT1: Plenty of Interested Developers. Nine Potential buyers were interested to
purchase Vallco within weeks of being the market in 2012. Among them, three
companies specialized in shopping malls: Federal Realty, Caruso Affiliated, DDR
Corp. [May 19, 2014, Silicon Valley Business , ournal]
(Vallco was purchased through a different agent to get around the first agent contacted
by the 8 other interested buyers. This is still the subject of an ongoing lawsuit since
2014.)
FACT2: Great Location. Vallco Shopping Center in Cupertino sits at the heart of the
Silicon Valley, easily accessible by all South Bay cities. There is no large shopping center
in Saratoga, Los Altos or Cupertino. The image below show that Vallco (in blue square)
sits in an area without sufficient coverage of shopping centers.
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Vallco is the blue square, between the two clusters of circles.
FACTS: Affluent, Stable and Growing Population. The area around Vallco Shopping
Center is an affluent community. The population in Cupertino has been growing at a
faster pace than the Bay Area Average. Other neighboring cities, like San Jose, Santa
Clara and Sunnyvale have plan to build thousands more housing units.
FACTS: Stable Occupancy. EC 9212 Report for Measure C states that the occupancy
rate of Vallco Mall was 66% in Nov. 2014 when Sand Hill took over Vallco. Majority of
the occupants have been in Vallco since 2009 or earlier with a steady customer and were
reluctant to leave Vallco. (At least 80% of the 1.2 million square feet of the former Vallco
was occupied with stable businesses and stable customer base in 2014. More
in http://bettercupertino.blogsl2ot.com/2016...)
Most of the Vallco Mall was occupied by many long-term viable business with
stable customer. The large ones: Ice Center, Bowlmor, Dynasty Restaurant,
Alexander's Steakhouse, Victoria Secret, Magic with 2 shops, Tatami, TGI
Friday's Restaurant, Benihana of Tokyo, Fresh Choice, New Things West with 2
shops, Famous Footwear. Smaller ones: Howard's Shoes, American Nail,
Perfume Plus, Capezio, Toys Sports Cards, SportAction, Gymboree, General
Nutrition Center (GNC), Alteration Express, Apollo & TZ, Grain D'or, Elite
Menswear, Site for Sore Eyes, Maxi's Fine Jewelry, Cinnabon, Preztel Maker.
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Figure III.3 (p.55) in EC 9212 Report for Measure C
• Steady Sales. Figure III.3 (p.55) in EC 9212 Report for Measure C shows that the
sales at Vallco has remained relatively steady and kept up with inflation, despite
of ignorance by the management without many promotional activities for years.
FACT6: NOT Operated by Professionals. Successful malls are operated by professional
shopping mall management companies, such as Simons, Westfield or Federal Realty.
But Vallco has been owned by real estate developers who have no experience running
successful shopping malls. (More in
Vallco Mall: the Abused and Neglected Poor Orphan with Great Potential)
• Moderate malls and their management firms: (ordered by sq. ft.)
+ Santana Row - 625,000 sq. ft. - Federal Realty
+ Westgate Mall - 637,000 sq. ft. - Federal Realty
+ Eastridge Mall -1 million sq. ft. - General Growth Properties (GGP)
+ Oakridge Mall -1.14 million sq. ft - Westfield
+ Vallco -1.2 million sq. ft. ** a string of inexperienced owner or developer **
+ Stanford Shopping Center, 1.34 million - Simon Property
+ Great Mall (Milpitas), 1.36 million - Simon Property
+ Valley Fair -1.5 million s.f. - Westfield
• Professional shopping center management firms:
+ Simon Property - more than 225 retail properties totaling approximately 189 million
sq. ft.
+ General Growth Properties (GGP) -120 U.S. locations, Total 125 million s.f.
+ Westfield - 38 shopping centres, 46 million square feet of retail space
+ Federal Realty - Federal Realty's 90 properties include over 2,600 tenants, in
approximately 21 million square feet.
+ Sand Hill - real estate developer who builds mostly office buildings and some small
scale shopping centers. No shopping center is operated by Sand Hill as a long-term
holding.
FACT7: Bay Area shopping malls have about 2% vacancies in 2015 and 2016. The
highest occupancy levels are in the South Bay. Both enclosed malls and he other types
of shopping centers are doing well.
• "The highest occupancy levels are in the South Bay. The South Bay also has more
disposable income than other areas." [Mercury News, May 13, 2016]
• "Because of the Bay Area's "exceptionally strong economic performance in recent
years," both enclosed malls and the other types of shopping centers are doing
well, said Garrick Brown, the vice president of research for DTZ." [San Francisco
Business Times, Feb. 23, 2015]
FACTS: All three anchor stores are performing well at Vallco. Macy's earning is better
than the Macy's in Sunnyvale. Valley Fair Macy's --in a large mall with better regional
location --is doing better than the Vallco Macy's. The earnings of Vallco JCPenny is
among the best in California. Sears is also profitable. All three anchor stores did not
have any plan to close the store in Vallco, when interviewed for the Retail Strategy
Report (March 6, 2014, prepared by the retail consultant for the GPA).
• More in The Three Anchor Stores Were Not Doing Well? Or Were They Pushed
Out?
• Long-time tenants were pushed out: Vallo Shop Owners Speak Up - 2015-11-03
CC Meeting
FACT9: Vallco sales remained steady throughout 2008-2009 recession. The 2014 sales is
only slightly less than that of 2006 sales, after adjusted for inflation. On the other hand,
the sales of Stanford Shopping Center has seen a big decline during 2008-2009 recession
and even the 2014 sales is still significantly lower than the 2006 sales. Refer to Figure
III.3 (p.55) in EC 9212 Report for Measure C above.
REFERENCE:
• "Cupertino's ghost mall, Vallco, may be best hope for a real downtown —
despite vexing lawsuit", May 19, 2014, Silicon Valley Business Journal
(http://www.bizjoumals.com/sanjose/news/2014/05/19/cupertino-s-ghost-mall-
vallco-may-be-best-hope-for.html)
• EC 9212 Report of Measure C from March 31, 2016 City Council meeting.
• "Bay Area shopping malls enjoy low vacancy rates," May 13, 2016, Mercury
News (http://www.mercurynews.com/2016/05/13/bay-area-shoppin -malls-
enj oy-low-vacancy-rates/)
• Why these are boom times for some Bay Area malls, Feb. 23, 2015, San Francisco
Business Times (http://www.bizjournals.com/sanfrancisco/blog/2015/02/bay-
area-malls-shopping-center-occupancy-2014.html)
• Vallco Myth Busters, Jan. 25, 2015: http://www.bettercupertino.org/vallco-myth-
busters
• Retail Strategy Report (March 6, 2014, prepared by the retail consultant for the
GPA).
Retail Strategy Report (March 6, 2014, prepared by the retail consultant for the GPA).
Reference: Stakeholder Interviews and Discussion, Page 54 of the Retail Strategy Report.
"It was confirmed that the Vallco store does better than Macy's at Sunnyvale Town
Center, but much lower sales than Valley Fair..... While no plans to do so were
expressed, if choosing a store to close between Vallco and Sunnyvale, Sunnyvale would
be the more obvious choice.... Since the store makes money, the tendency is not to
consider closure."
"....[Sears] intend to maintain control over their real estate, they do not want any
planning process to result in a redevelopment plan they do not like, .... There was little
interest expressed in either relocation or a store closure."
"While the surrounding mall environment is severely packing, the store performs well.
JCPenny has reinvested in the Vallco store over the past two years including the
addition of a home department and other shops in the store.... They would be
concerned about the size of a retail component as part of such a project, like many
retailers wanting to be part of a critical mass large enough to be a designation attraction
for customers.... they would like to continue operating in the market and at Vallco"
Cupertino's ghost mall, Vallco, may be best hope for a real downtown — despite vexing
lawsuit, May 19, 2014, Silicon Valley Business Journal
(http://www.bizjoumals.com/sanjose/news/2014/05/19/cupertino-s-ghost-mall-vallco-
may-be-best-hope-for.html)
Excerpts:
There was no shortage of interested parties. Within weeks, the brokers had signed
confidentiality agreements with nine potential buyers to look into the property offering
further. The list included Apple, which already had a sizable office presence in the
neighborhood; Federal Realty, the national shopping -center landlord; the Sobrato
Organization, the Cupertino -based developer and landlord; Barry Swenson Builder, a
longtime San Jose -based developer; and Caruso Affiliated, the high-profile Los Angeles
lifestyle center developer headed by billionaire Rick Caruso.
Also signing agreements: Irvine Company, the huge privately held landlord; DDR
Corp., a large operator of retail power centers; Bristol Group Inc., a San Francisco -based
investment firm that specializes in distressed assets; Grosvenor, the Britain -based
investor/developer; and Redwood City -based Sand Hill Property Co., headed by Pau.
"According to court records, companies that looked at buying the mall included
Cupertino -based Apple Inc., national mall operators such as Federal Realty Investment
Trust (owner of San Jose's Santana Row) and major real estate developers including
Caruso Affiliated (owner of the successful The Grove and Americana at Brand projects
in the Los Angeles area). None of the potential buyers appear to have actually gone into
contract on the property, and it's unclear just how interested they were."