HomeMy WebLinkAboutCC 07-07-2026 Item No. 12 Ballot Measure Survey Results_Consultant PresentationPage 1
June 2026
City of Cupertino:
2026 UUT Renewal and Parkland Rezoning Measure Survey
July 7, 2026
Page 2
June 2026
Key Take-Aways
The City of Cupertino commissioned Godbe Research to
conduct a survey of likely November 2026 voters. The key
take-aways are:
A General Plan Amendment ballot measure to require
future rezoning of parks or open space be placed on a
future ballot was favored by 69.5% of voters.
A ballot measure renewing the utility users tax (UUT) at
the existing rate, without increasing the tax rate, adding
video services and extending the term to “until ended by
voters” was favored by 66.4% voters.
Neither a UUT increase of 1 percent or an increase of 0.6
percent were viable at this time.
Page 3
June 2026
Methodology Overview I
Data Collection Landline (17), cell (125), text to online (272), and
email to online interviewing (20)
Universe 24,643 Likely November 2026 Voters
Fielding Dates June 3 to 17, 2026
Interview Length 25 minutes
Sample Size n=434
Margin of Error November 2026 Voters ±4.66%
Note: The data have been stratified and weighted to reflect the actual population characteristics of likely November 2026 voters in the City of Cupertino in terms of their
gender, age, ethnic surname, presence of children in the household, political party type, household party type, homeownership, and geography. While another survey
appears to have been conducted by an unknown sponsor at the same time and likely had an impact on the response rate, response rate itself is not part of the calculation
of the survey margin of error (population size, sample size, response distribution and alpha coefficient are the components of the algorithm). This second survey may have
complicated the survey environment, this is not of concern to the data accuracy given that n=434 interviews were completed (typical for a City of Cupertino’s voter
population would be between 300 to 400 completed interviews) and in an actual election there will be much more “noise” in the background including but not limited to,
National Congressional mid-term debate, gubernatorial campaigns, statewide ballot measures, as well as local races. Further, the survey methodology stratification and
weighting noted above ensure that the final sample is representative of the likely November 2026 voters in the City of Cupertino within the stated margin of error.
Page 4
June 2026
Methodology Overview II
The data have been stratified and weighted to reflect the actual population
characteristics of likely November 2026 voters in the City of Cupertino in terms
of their gender, age, ethnic surname, presence of children in the household,
education, homeownership, political party type, household party type, among
other factors.
Column
N %Count ∑ or
Mean
Likely Nov 2026 Voter
Male 49.0%213
Female 51.0%221
Unknown 0.0%0
18-29 11.6%50
30-39 10.3%45
40-49 12.3%54
50-64 32.8%142
65+32.9%143
Not coded 0.1%0
East and South Asian 56.4%245
European 24.8%108
Hispanic and Portuguese 3.6%16
Likely African-American 0.0%0
Other 5.3%23
Unknown 9.9%43
Gender
Age
Broad Ethnic Groupings
Page 5
June 2026
Methodology Overview III
Column
N %Count ∑ or
Mean
Likely Nov 2026 Voter
Inferred Married 18.1%78
Inferred Single 1.2%5
Married 37.4%162
Single 16.2%70
Unknown 27.2%118
Yes 36.2%157
No 52.1%226
Unknown 11.7%51
Did not complete high school likely 0.0%0
Completed high school likely 4.5%20
Attended but did not complete
college likely 0.4%2
Completed college likely 36.2%157
Attended vocationa/technical school
likely 0.0%0
Completed graduate school likely 28.7%125
Unknown 30.2%131
Yes 1.7%7
No 98.3%427
Homeowner 65.2%283
Probable Home Owner 0.0%0
Renter 20.8%90
Unknown 14.0%61
Presence of Children
Education
Veteran
Homeownership Status
Marital Status
Page 6
June 2026
Methodology Overview IV
Column
N %Count ∑ or
Mean
Likely Nov 2026 Voter
American Independent 1.3%6
Democratic 47.3%205
Green 0.4%2
Libertarian 0.4%2
Natural Law 0.0%0
Non-Partisan 34.9%152
Other 0.0%0
Peace and Freedom 0.6%2
Reform 0.0%0
Republican 15.0%65
Unknown 0.0%0
No data 0.1%0
Dem 29.9%130
Dem&Ind 26.5%115
Dem&Rep 5.5%24
Dem&Rep&Ind 4.0%17
Ind 20.4%89
Rep 7.5%33
Rep&Ind 6.1%27
No data 0.0%0
Individual Party
Household Party Type
Page 7
June 2026
Key Findings
Page 8
June 2026
Favorability Rating of the Job the City of
Cupertino is Doing to Provide City Services
0%20%40%60%80%100%
Nov 2024
Survey -
Adults 18+
June 2026
Survey - Likely
November
2026 Voters
25.5%
20.0%
47.0%
48.4%
17.4%
13.5%
2.9%
5.0%
7.2%
13.0%
Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable DK/NA
68.4%
72.5%
Page 9
June 2026
Favorability Rating of the Job the City of
Cupertino is Doing to Effectively Manage and
Spend Taxpayer Dollars and Public Funds
0%20%40%60%80%100%
Likely
November
2026 Voters
9.8%40.3%17.6%10.5%21.8%
Very favorable Somewhat favorable Somewhat unfavorable Very unfavorable DK/NA
50.1%
Page 10
June 2026
Initial Support for Amending the City of
Cupertino General Plan for Parkland Rezoning
Shall an ordinance amending the
City of Cupertino General Plan be
adopted to mandate that any
attempt to rezone parks, parklands
or open space to residential,
commercial or industrial, or any
proposal for residential,
commercial or industrial
development in parks, parkland or
open space, must be placed
before Cupertino voters and
secure two-thirds support in the
City’s next general election be
adopted?Probably No
10.0%
DK/NA
7.8%
Definitely No
12.8%
Definitely Yes
43.6%
Probably Yes
25.9%
Total Support
69.5%
Page 11
June 2026
Initial Support for Measure to Increase UUT to
Maintain Essential City Services
Shall the measure to maintain
essential city services such as:
• public safety,
• streets,
• parks and open spaces,
• community programs, and
• other general city services,
by replacing Cupertino’s expiring
2.4% tax with a 3.4% tax on
electricity, gas, and
telecommunications, and adding
video services, until ended by
voters, providing $6,900,000
annually, maintaining senior
citizens' exemptions, requiring
annual audits and public spending
disclosure, be adopted? Probably No
DK/NA
10.5%
Definitely No
29.0%
Definitely Yes
17.8%
Probably Yes
26.6%
Total Support
44.4%
Page 12
June 2026
Features of the UUT Measure I
Note: The above rating questions have been abbreviated for charting purposes, and responses were recoded to calculate mean scores:
“Much More Likely” = +2, “Somewhat More Likely” = +1, “No Effect” = 0, “Somewhat Less Likely” = -1, and “Much Less Likely” = -2.
Somewhat
More Likely
Somewhat
Less Likely
Much Less
Likely
-2 -1 0 1 2
D. Maintain emergency and disaster preparedness
programs
I. Maintain safe pedestrian sidewalks and crosswalks
L. Maintain safe bike paths and safe routes to schools for
children
P. Reduce wildfire risk by controlling flammable brush
and maintaining safe evacuation routes
F. Reduce property crime
A. Maintain and repair local streets
H. Maintain parks and open space
B. Maintain rapid 911 emergency response times
0.72
0.74
0.75
0.80
0.83
0.85
0.92
0.93
Much More
Likely
70.6%
Ti
e
r
1
62.8%T2
63.4%
Page 13
June 2026
Features of the UUT Measure II
Note: The above rating questions have been abbreviated for charting purposes, and responses were recoded to calculate mean scores:
“Much More Likely” = +2, “Somewhat More Likely” = +1, “No Effect” = 0, “Somewhat Less Likely” = -1, and “Much Less Likely” = -2.
Somewhat
More Likely
Somewhat
Less Likely
Much Less
Likely
-2 -1 0 1 2
O. Maintain facilities and grounds at Blackberry Farm
K. Maintain City facilities
E. Protect community-based policing
N. Maintain trees and landscaping along city streets
J. Reduce traffic on City streets
M. Protect air quality
C. Maintain neighborhood police patrols
G. Maintain senior and youth programs
0.37
0.38
0.51
0.53
0.54
0.57
0.63
0.70
Much More
Likely
61.0%
Ti
e
r
2
- Co
n
t
’
d
46.3%
56.8%
Ti
e
r
3
53.1%
Page 14
June 2026
Informational Statements I
Note: The above rating questions have been abbreviated for charting purposes, and responses were recoded to calculate mean scores:
“Much More Likely” = +2, “Somewhat More Likely” = +1, and “No Effect” = 0.
0 1 2
P. You never know when an accident, disaster or medical
emergency will occur. This measure will ensure rapid 9-1-
1 emergency services are ready when you need them…
N. In the event of a heart attack, stroke, medical
emergency or accident, seconds can be the difference
between life and death. This measure will help ensure a…
H. The measure will continue to give Cupertino local
control over local funds for local needs. No funds can be
taken by the state or federal governments
D. The measure requires independent financial audits,
and yearly reports to the community to ensure that all
funds are spent as promised
C. This measure requires public disclosure of the
spending of every penny from this measure
F. Large businesses will pay their fair share, so
homeowners don't shoulder the entire cost of maintaining
Cupertino city services
1.06
1.11
1.12
1.14
1.16
1.24
No Effect Somewhat
More Likely
Much More
Likely
70.7%
Ti
e
r
1
68.3%
Page 15
June 2026
Informational Statements II
Note: The above rating questions have been abbreviated for charting purposes, and responses were recoded to calculate mean scores:
“Much More Likely” = +2, “Somewhat More Likely” = +1, and “No Effect” = 0.
0 1 2
U. Without the measure the existing tax will expire and
the City will be forced to make cuts to critical city
services
A. This measure will maintain traffic enforcement to keep
drivers, pedestrians, bicyclists and children traveling to
school safe
S. If the measure fails, the cost of maintaining police
services through the Sheriff's Office will put other vital
city services such as street maintenance, park and
recreation services or youth and senior programs at risk
G. The measure will ensure funding to maintain local
parks and open space
I. Without the measure Cupertino streets will begin to
deteriorate creating potholes, causing damage to vehicles
and reconstructing deteriorating streets will become
more expensive
0.95
0.95
0.97
0.98
1.00
No Effect Somewhat
More Likely
Much More
Likely
65.8%
Ti
e
r
2
63.3%
Page 16
June 2026
Interim Support for UUT Measure to Maintain
Essential City Services
0%20%40%60%80%100%
Interim
Ballot
Initial
Ballot
21.0%
17.8%
36.4%
26.6%
18.2%
16.2%
19.9%
29.0%
4.5%
10.5%
Definitely Yes Probably Yes Probably No Definitely No DK/NA
44.4%
57.4%
Shall the measure to maintain
essential city services such as:
• public safety,
• streets,
• parks and open spaces,
• community programs, and
• other general city services,
by replacing Cupertino’s expiring
2.4% tax with a 3.4% tax on
electricity, gas, and
telecommunications, and adding
video services, until ended by
voters, providing $6,900,000
annually, maintaining senior
citizens' exemptions, requiring
annual audits and public spending
disclosure, be adopted?
Page 17
June 2026
Critical Statements
Note: The above rating questions have been abbreviated for charting purposes, and responses were recoded to calculate mean scores:
“Much More Likely” = +2, “Somewhat More Likely” = +1, and “No Effect” = 0.
0 1 2
A. With residents and businesses struggling with the high
gas prices, increasing cost of living, inflation, tariffs,
increasing grocery prices, and high mortgages, now is not
the time for another tax increase
B. The measure was passed to fund Blackberry Farm, but
it has been paid for. Why are they still continuing this tax?
C. The measure is a forever tax that will never end
G. The measure could increase the average homeowner's
utility bills
F. The City imposed a utility tax in 2009 and we were
promised it would sunset. This year there will be a
regional transportation tax proposal on the ballot. Now
Cupertino wants another tax on top of that.
0.99
1.00
1.00
1.02
1.03
No Effect Somewhat
More Likely
Much More
Likely
Ti
e
r
1
63.5%
61.5%
■ Entire Sample
■ Sample A
■ Sample B
Page 18
June 2026
Final Support for UUT Measure to Maintain
Essential City Services
0%20%40%60%80%100%
Final
Ballot
Interim
Ballot
Initial
Ballot
16.4%
21.0%
17.8%
30.3%
36.4%
26.6%
22.4%
18.2%
16.2%
21.6%
19.9%
29.0%
9.4%
4.5%
10.5%
Definitely Yes Probably Yes Probably No Definitely No DK/NA
44.4%
57.4%
Shall the measure to maintain
essential city services such as:
• public safety,
• streets,
• parks and open spaces,
• community programs, and
• other general city services,
by replacing Cupertino’s expiring
2.4% tax with a 3.4% tax on
electricity, gas, and
telecommunications, and adding
video services, until ended by
voters, providing $6,900,000
annually, maintaining senior
citizens' exemptions, requiring
annual audits and public spending
disclosure, be adopted?
46.6%
Page 19
June 2026
Alternative UUT Measure: Increase the Rate by
0.6 Percent
Instead of increasing the
Cupertino utility tax by one
percent, to maintain essential city
services such as: public safety,
streets, parks and open spaces,
community programs, and other
general city services, another
alternative would be to increase
the rate by 0.6 percent until ended
by voters.
Probably No
18.7%
DK/NA
5.2%
Definitely No
20.0%
Definitely Yes
22.4%
Probably Yes
33.7%
Total Support
56.1%
Page 20
June 2026
Alternative UUT Measure: Renew the Tax at
the Current Rate (2.4%)
Another alternative would be to
renew the tax at the current rate
without any tax increase until
ended by voters in order to
maintain essential city services
such as: public safety, streets,
parks and open spaces,
community programs, and other
general city services.
Probably No
15.3%
DK/NA
2.9%
Definitely No
15.4%
Definitely Yes
33.8%
Probably Yes
32.6%
Total Support
66.4%
Page 21
June 2026
Alternative UUT Measure: Renew the Tax at
the Current Rate (2.4%) for 16 Years
Another alternative would be to
renew the tax at the current rate
without any tax increase for 16
years in order to maintain
essential city services such as:
public safety, streets, parks and
open spaces, community
programs, and other general city
services.
Probably No
16.8%
DK/NA
4.7%
Definitely No
16.5%
Definitely Yes
37.1%
Probably Yes
24.8%
Total Support
61.9%
Page 22
June 2026
Opinion on Future Economy
0%20%40%60%80%100%
Likely
November
2026 Voters
12.8%30.0%48.6%8.6%
Better About the same Worse DK/NA
Page 23
June 2026
Key Take-Aways
The City of Cupertino commissioned Godbe Research to
conduct a survey of likely November 2026 voters. The key
take-aways are:
A General Plan Amendment ballot measure to require
future rezoning of parks or open space be placed on a
future ballot was favored by 69.5% of voters.
A ballot measure renewing the utility users tax at the
existing rate, without increasing the tax rate, adding
video services and extending the term to “until ended by
voters” was favored by 66.4% voters.
Neither a UUT increase of 1 percent or an increase of 0.6
percent were viable at this time.
Page 24
June 2026
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